TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 18.8 S 118.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BEJISA (06S) currently located near 10.4 S 52.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 18.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 17.7 S 119.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 17.1 S 119.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.