N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.2 N 91.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, November 25, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.6 N 90.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.6 N 90.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.3 N 91.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.3 N 91.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEXX32 PAAQ 250647
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
147 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0127 EST NOV 25 2013
0027 CST NOV 25 2013
0227 AST NOV 25 2013
0627 UTC NOV 25 2013
* COORDINATES 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
* DEPTH 1 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
147 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0127 EST NOV 25 2013
0027 CST NOV 25 2013
0227 AST NOV 25 2013
0627 UTC NOV 25 2013
* COORDINATES 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
* DEPTH 1 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Statement
TSUNAMI STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0641 UTC MON NOV 25 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND THE U.K. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0627Z 25 NOV 2013
COORDINATES - 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
LOCATION - SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0641 UTC MON NOV 25 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND THE U.K. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0627Z 25 NOV 2013
COORDINATES - 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
LOCATION - SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
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