TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KARL

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KARL is currently located near 27.0 N 64.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). KARL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression MEGI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression MEGI is currently located near 15.3 N 139.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). MEGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.