S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Apr, 2021 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEROJA is currently located near 20.3 S 108.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). SEROJA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Head (30.1 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Warramboo (28.0 S, 117.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Moora (30.7 S, 116.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
