TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 19.7 S 58.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jan, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 18.9 S 59.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jan, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 18.3 S 59.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jan, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 18.1 S 60.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).