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Tuesday, September 12, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOKSURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DOKSURI is currently located near 14.6 N 116.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DOKSURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOKSURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DOKSURI is currently located near 14.5 N 117.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). DOKSURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 23.8 N 126.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). TALIM is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYONE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYONE is currently located near 14.5 N 118.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYONE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 22.9 N 127.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). TALIM is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 21.5 N 130.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). TALIM is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.