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Sunday, September 16, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL06

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2018 9:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression AL06 is currently located near 33.8 N 81.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL06 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELENE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2018 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELENE is currently located near 42.5 N 28.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HELENE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Wales
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Manchester (53.5 N, 2.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Newcastle (55.0 N, 1.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    York (54.2 N, 1.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2018 6:00 GMT

Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 21.6 N 113.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Guiyang (26.6 N, 106.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Ha Giang (22.8 N, 104.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).