NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2018 6:00 GMT
Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 21.6 N 113.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Vietnam
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Guiyang (26.6 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Ha Giang (22.8 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).