TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IRINA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRINA (14S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Africa
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Mozambique
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Swaziland
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bumbeni (27.8 S, 32.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Richards Bay (28.8 S, 32.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRINA (14S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Africa
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Mozambique
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Swaziland
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bumbeni (27.8 S, 32.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Richards Bay (28.8 S, 32.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IRINA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRINA (14S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xai-Xai (25.0 S, 33.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Africa
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Swaziland
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Maputo (26.0 S, 32.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bumbeni (27.8 S, 32.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Mbabne (26.3 S, 31.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Hlatikulu (27.0 S, 31.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRINA (14S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xai-Xai (25.0 S, 33.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Africa
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Swaziland
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Maputo (26.0 S, 32.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bumbeni (27.8 S, 32.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Mbabne (26.3 S, 31.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Hlatikulu (27.0 S, 31.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.