N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2022 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NICOLE is currently located near 27.1 N 74.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
