TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FUNSO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 36 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machece (19.2 S, 35.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 36 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machece (19.2 S, 35.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone ETHEL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ETHEL (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone ETHEL (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FUNSO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 48 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 48 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ETHEL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ETHEL (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ETHEL (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Malawi
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Machece (19.2 S, 35.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Malawi
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Machece (19.2 S, 35.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.