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Friday, February 9, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GITA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GITA is currently located near 16.1 S 170.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWO is currently located near 8.8 N 143.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWO is currently located near 10.0 N 143.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GITA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GITA is currently located near 15.3 S 171.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GITA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GITA is currently located near 14.5 S 173.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWO is currently located near 10.1 N 144.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GITA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GITA is currently located near 14.3 S 174.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).