SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.9 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.9 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, March 9, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone SANDRA
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Mar, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.7 S 159.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Mar, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.7 S 159.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.7 S 159.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Mar, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone SANDRA (19P) currently located near 15.7 S 159.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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