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Sunday, September 1, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2019 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 26.6 N 77.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). DORIAN is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2019 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 26.6 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). DORIAN is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1602 UTC SUN SEP 1 2019

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 1554 UTC SEP 1 2019
* COORDINATES 20.4 SOUTH 178.4 WEST
* DEPTH 617 KM / 383 MILES
* LOCATION FIJI REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE FIJI ISLANDS REGION AT 1554 UTC ON SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 1
2019.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2019 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 26.5 N 76.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). DORIAN is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2019 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 26.4 N 76.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). DORIAN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).