N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 18.5 N 72.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)Haiti
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Dominican Republic
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Bahamas
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Cuba
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.