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Friday, December 14, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OWEN is currently located near 16.9 S 142.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tully (17.8 S, 145.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OWEN is currently located near 16.3 S 141.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OWEN is currently located near 15.3 S 140.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). OWEN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OWEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OWEN is currently located near 15.1 S 139.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). OWEN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OWEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Cooktown (15.4 S, 145.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).