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Thursday, August 24, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR is currently located near 14.9 N 123.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PAKHAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HARVEY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane HARVEY is currently located near 25.2 N 94.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HARVEY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Port Lavaca (28.6 N, 96.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours
    San Antonio (29.4 N, 98.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HARVEY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 21:00 GMT

Hurricane HARVEY is currently located near 24.7 N 93.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HARVEY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Lavaca (28.6 N, 96.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Houston (29.8 N, 95.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    San Antonio (29.4 N, 98.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HARVEY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 18:00 GMT

Hurricane HARVEY is currently located near 24.4 N 93.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HARVEY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Lavaca (28.6 N, 96.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 30 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 30 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 42 hours
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARVEY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HARVEY is currently located near 24.0 N 93.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Lavaca (28.6 N, 96.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    San Antonio (29.4 N, 98.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN is currently located near 15.6 N 126.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). SIXTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARVEY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HARVEY is currently located near 23.2 N 92.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Port Lavaca (28.6 N, 96.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.