S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2023 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDDY is currently located near 21.1 S 46.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). FREDDY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FREDDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
