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Thursday, July 8, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Jul, 2021 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 37.6 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Canada
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Portland (43.5 N, 70.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Jul, 2021 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 36.3 N 78.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Canada
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Jul, 2021 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 35.0 N 79.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Jul, 2021 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 33.4 N 81.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).