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Tuesday, July 6, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Jul, 2021 3:00 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 27.3 N 83.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2021 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 25.8 N 83.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 25.4 N 83.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 6 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 6 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 45% within 6 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2021 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 24.9 N 82.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2021 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 24.1 N 82.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).