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Saturday, February 23, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.