NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane WILLA is currently located near 20.5 N 107.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). WILLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WILLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
Mazatlan (23.4 N, 106.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).