N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT
Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 40.0 N 53.1 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Azores
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Spain
probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ponta Delgada (37.7 N, 25.7 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.