[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0512Z 14 DEC 2011

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0505Z 14 DEC 2011
COORDINATES - 7.5 SOUTH 146.8 EAST
DEPTH - 127 KM
LOCATION - EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG. P.N.G.
MAGNITUDE - 7.3

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.