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Monday, December 2, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KAMMURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Dec, 2019 0:00 GMT

Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.1 N 122.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). KAMMURI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KAMMURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2019 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.1 N 123.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). KAMMURI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KAMMURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.0 N 124.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). KAMMURI is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KAMMURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2019 6:00 GMT

Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.0 N 125.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). KAMMURI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).