TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Apr, 2023 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Very Intense TC ILSA is currently located near 20.5 S 119.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). ILSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Apr, 2023 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC ILSA is currently located near 19.5 S 119.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). ILSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC ILSA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Apr, 2023 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC ILSA is currently located near 18.7 S 118.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). ILSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ILSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).