S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Dec, 2019 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone BELNA is currently located near 12.9 S 46.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). BELNA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BELNA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
