A gathering of information, and sources, to aid with monitoring natural events, globally.
Thursday, October 1, 2015
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC MONTHLY SCHEDULED COMMUNICATION TEST
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0248 UTC FRI OCT 2 2015
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS MESSAGE APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN
AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT
ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...
...TEST PTWC MONTHLY COMMUNICATION TEST...
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A SCHEDULED TEST OF THE
COMMUNICATION METHODS USED TO DISSEMINATE TSUNAMI INFORMATION
FROM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER TO THE PTWS
TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL POINTS.
THIS TEST IS CONDUCTED ON THE FIRST TUESDAY OF EACH MONTH AT
2230 UTC. THE MESSAGE IS SENT BY SEVERAL COMMUNICATIONS METHODS
INCLUDING THE GLOBAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM OR GTS... THE
AERONAUTICAL FIXED TELECOMMUNICATIONS NETWORK OR AFTN... BY
EMAIL... AND BY TELEFAX.
THIS MESSAGE SHOULD ARRIVE BY ALL DESIGNATED METHODS WITHIN A
FEW MINUTES OF ITS BEING DISSEMINATED. TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL
POINTS SHOULD CHECK THAT IT WAS RECEIVED BY ALL METHODS IN A
TIMELY FASHION.
RESPONSE - IT IS ONLY NECESSARY TO RESPOND IF THE TEST WAS
UNACCEPTABLY DELAYED OR NOT RECEIVED BY ONE OR MORE DESIGNATED
COMMUNICATION METHODS. IN THAT CASE... PLEASE NOTIFY THE PACIFIC
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER BY EMAIL... INDICATING WHICH METHOD OR
METHODS FAILED AND THE EMAIL OF A PERSON OR PERSONS TO
CORRESPOND WITH REGARDING THE PROBLEM.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EMAIL - COMMS@PTWC.NOAA.GOV
THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL WORK TO RESOLVE ANY
COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS THAT ARE IDENTIFIED.
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THIS
TEST.
$$
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2015 3:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 22.9 N 74.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 95% currently
the Turks & Caicos Islands
probability for TS is 95% currently
Haiti
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression MUJIGAE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression MUJIGAE (22W) currently located near 16.1 N 119.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYTWO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYTWO (22W) currently located near 15.5 N 121.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 21:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 23.0 N 74.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Turks & Caicos Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Cuba
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 15:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 23.0 N 73.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Turks & Caicos Islands
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO (22W) currently located near 15.2 N 122.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN
N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 9:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane JOAQUIN (AL11) currently located near 23.4 N 73.7 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Bahamas
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Turks & Caicos Islands
probability for TS is 65% currently
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYTWO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYTWO (22W) currently located near 14.4 N 124.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.