TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOURTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Sep, 2019 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOURTEEN is currently located near 17.8 N 159.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FOURTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 120 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Sep, 2019 3:00 GMT

Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 28.4 N 79.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). DORIAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LINGLING

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Sep, 2019 0:00 GMT

Typhoon LINGLING is currently located near 22.1 N 124.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). LINGLING is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LINGLING is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOURTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOURTEEN is currently located near 17.0 N 160.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FOURTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 21:00 GMT

Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 27.7 N 78.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). DORIAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FERNAND

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FERNAND is currently located near 23.4 N 95.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FERNAND is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Aldama (22.9 N, 98.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    San Fernando (24.9 N, 98.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LINGLING

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 18:00 GMT

Typhoon LINGLING is currently located near 21.9 N 124.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LINGLING is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LINGLING is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 15:00 GMT

Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 27.1 N 78.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). DORIAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 117 hours
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOURTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOURTEEN is currently located near 16.9 N 160.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FOURTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LINGLING

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon LINGLING is currently located near 21.4 N 124.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LINGLING is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LINGLING is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    North Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression KAJIKI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression KAJIKI is currently located near 16.3 N 108.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). KAJIKI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Laos
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane DORIAN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2019 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 26.9 N 78.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). DORIAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).