TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAMMASUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Jul, 2014 0:00 GMT

Typhoon RAMMASUN (09W) currently located near 12.8 N 125.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAMMASUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jul, 2014 18:00 GMT

Typhoon RAMMASUN (09W) currently located near 12.7 N 126.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAMMASUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jul, 2014 12:00 GMT

Typhoon RAMMASUN (09W) currently located near 12.7 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAMMASUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jul, 2014 6:00 GMT

Typhoon RAMMASUN (09W) currently located near 13.0 N 129.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.