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Thursday, November 21, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELEN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELEN (04B) currently located near 16.2 N 82.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELEN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELEN (04B) currently located near 16.2 N 82.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Message

SEHW70 PHEB 211742
EQIHWX
HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-211842-

TSUNAMI SEISMIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
742 AM HST THU NOV 21 2013

TO - CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII

SUBJECT - LOCAL TSUNAMI INFORMATION

THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. NO ACTION REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 2.4
* ORIGIN TIME 0736 HST NOV 21 2013
1736 UTC NOV 21 2013
* COORDINATES 19.3 NORTH 155.5 WEST
* DEPTH 5 MILES
* LOCATION 40 MILES SW OF HILO HAWAII
205 MILES SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII


EVALUATION
NO TSUNAMI IS EXPECTED. REPEAT. NO TSUNAMI IS EXPECTED

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY MESSAGE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELEN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELEN (04B) currently located near 16.1 N 83.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELEN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELEN (04B) currently located near 15.8 N 83.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.