TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOKSURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DOKSURI is currently located near 15.8 N 113.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). DOKSURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 26.0 N 124.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). TALIM is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOKSURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DOKSURI is currently located near 15.6 N 114.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DOKSURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 25.5 N 125.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). TALIM is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TALIM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 6:00 GMT

Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 25.0 N 125.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). TALIM is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DOKSURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DOKSURI is currently located near 15.2 N 115.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DOKSURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Thailand
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.