TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2015 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.3 N 51.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.3 N 52.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.8 N 53.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MEGH (05A) currently located near 12.6 N 54.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qalansiyah (12.7 N, 53.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Somalia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Caluula (11.9 N, 50.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours
    Boosaaso (11.3 N, 49.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Aden (12.8 N, 45.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.