NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Macau
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Macau
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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