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Thursday, February 18, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2016 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone WINSTON is currently located near 17.4 S 173.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). WINSTON is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2016 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone WINSTON is currently located near 17.1 S 172.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). WINSTON is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone WINSTON is currently located near 17.1 S 171.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). WINSTON is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.