N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT
Hurricane MICHAEL is currently located near 23.2 N 85.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MICHAEL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MICHAEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
