N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 18 Oct, 2019 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 24.1 N 93.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).