NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 May, 2021 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR is currently located near 7.9 N 130.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
