TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ELEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Aug, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression ELEVEN (11W) currently located near 13.3 N 135.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ELEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Aug, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression ELEVEN (11W) currently located near 12.3 N 135.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.