TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.6 N 65.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 13.3 N 141.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 12.9 N 140.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.6 N 64.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.4 N 63.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.8 N 61.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.