N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm MAHASEN (01B) currently located near 23.0 N 91.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 90% currently
Bangladesh
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
