NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, September 15, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SANBA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 25.6 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 25.6 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 25.6 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 25.6 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SANBA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 24.6 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 24.6 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 24.6 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 24.6 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SANBA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 23.4 N 128.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 23.4 N 128.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 23.4 N 128.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SANBA (17W) currently located near 23.4 N 128.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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