NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Jul, 2012 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 95% currently
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Jul, 2012 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 95% currently
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, July 23, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon VICENTE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon VICENTE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon VICENTE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon VICENTE (09W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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