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Tuesday, August 29, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 3:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 27.7 N 84.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). IDALIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 0:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 26.9 N 84.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). IDALIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane FRANKLIN

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane FRANKLIN is currently located near 32.3 N 69.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). FRANKLIN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FRANKLIN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI is currently located near 19.9 N 136.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 0:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 20.1 N 121.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2023 0:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 26.9 N 84.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). IDALIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 18 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 18 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 42 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 21:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 26.1 N 84.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). IDALIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI is currently located near 19.4 N 136.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 18:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 19.9 N 121.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 18:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 25.2 N 84.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). IDALIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 18 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 30 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 42 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 18 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 42 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 30 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 15:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 24.6 N 84.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). IDALIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI is currently located near 19.1 N 137.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 12:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 19.3 N 122.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 12:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 23.8 N 84.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). IDALIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 30 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 42 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 42 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 42 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 66 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 66 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HAIKUI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI is currently located near 19.0 N 137.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). HAIKUI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IDALIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 9:00 GMT

Hurricane IDALIA is currently located near 23.1 N 85.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). IDALIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDALIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2023 6:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 18.9 N 123.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). SAOLA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).