TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 32.7 N 138.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 30.5 N 136.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 28.5 N 134.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.