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Wednesday, January 10, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JOYCE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jan, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JOYCE is currently located near 16.9 S 121.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). JOYCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lombadina (16.5 S, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Derby (17.3 S, 123.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIVE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIVE is currently located near 16.7 S 122.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lombadina (16.5 S, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression FIVE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression FIVE is currently located near 16.1 S 122.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). FIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lombadina (16.5 S, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IRVING

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRVING is currently located near 27.5 S 68.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). IRVING is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Heard & McDonald Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression FIVE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jan, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression FIVE is currently located near 16.1 S 122.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). FIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).