N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 11 Nov, 2015 21:00 GMT
Hurricane KATE (AL12) currently located near 38.2 N 56.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)Ireland
probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
Northern Ireland
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Scotland
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
