N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2019 3:00 GMT
Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 38.3 N 70.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). DORIAN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
St. Pierre and Miquelon
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
the United States
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).