TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SARIKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SARIKA is currently located near 13.8 N 127.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SARIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 33.6 N 63.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). NICOLE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SARIKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SARIKA is currently located near 14.0 N 128.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SARIKA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 32.3 N 64.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). NICOLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 13.8 N 128.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 13.3 N 129.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 31.1 N 65.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). NICOLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.