NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Aug, 2018 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK is currently located near 25.7 N 136.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). SOULIK is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SOULIK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
