SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2021 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NIRAN is currently located near 15.1 S 147.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NIRAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
